Annual Financial Report

Chesnara plc (the 'Company') ANNUAL FINANCIAL REPORT * Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December 2008 * Notice of Annual General Meeting * Form of Proxy for the Annual General Meeting Copies of the above documents which were issued to shareholders on 14 April 2009 have been submitted to the UK Listing Authority and will be available for inspection at the UK Listing Authority's Document Viewing Facility, which is situated at: The Financial Services Authority, 25 The North Colonade, Canary Warf, London E14 5HS. The Company's Financial Statements and Notice of Annual General Meeting may also be found on its websire at www.chesnara.co.uk. The Company announced its preliminary results for the year ended 31 December 2008 on 31 March 2009 which included audited financial statements and a fair review of business. The Company today provides the following additional regulated information, included within its Financial Statements, in full unedited text as required to be made public under the disclosure and transparency rules. STATEMENT OF DIRECTORS' RESPONSIBILITIES IN RESPECT OF THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS. The Directors are responsible for preparing the Group and Parent Company financial statements in accordance with applicable law and regulations. Company law requires the Directors to prepare Group and Parent Company financial statements for each financial year. Under that law they are required to prepare the Group financial statements in accordance with IFRSs as adopted by the EU and applicable law and have elected to prepare the Parent Company financial statements on the same basis. The Group and Parent Company financial statements are required by law and IFRSs as adopted by the EU to present fairly the financial position of the Group and the Parent Company and the performance for the period; the Companies Act 1985 provides in relation to such financial statements that references in the relevant part of that Act to financial statements giving a true and fair view are references to their achieving a fair presentation. In preparing each of the Group and Parent Company financial statements, the Directors are required to: * select suitable accounting policies and then apply them consistently; * make judgements and estimates that are reasonable and prudent; * state they have been prepared in accordance with IFRSs as adopted by the EU; and * prepare the financial statements on the going concern basis unless it is inappropriate to presume that the Group and Parent Company will continue in business. The Directors are responsible for keeping proper accounting records that disclose with reasonable accuracy at any time the financial position of the Parent Company and enable them to ensure that the financial statements comply with the Companies Act 1985. They have general responsibility for taking such steps as are reasonably open to them to safeguard the assets of the Group and detect fraud and other irregularities. Under applicable law and regulations, the Directors are also responsible for preparing a Directors' Report, Directors' Remuneration Report and the Corporate Governance Statement that comply with that law and those regulations. The Directors are responsible for the maintenance and integrity of the corporate and financial information included on the Company's website. Legislation in the UK governing the preparation and dissemination of financial statements may differ from legislation in other jurisdictions. We confirm that, to the best of our knowledge: * the financial statements, prepared in accordance with the applicable set of accounting standards, give a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and profit or loss of the Company and the undertakings included in the consolidation taken as a whole; and * the Directors' Report includes a fair review of the development and performance of the business and the position of the issuer and the undertakings included in the consolidation taken as a whole, together with a description of the principal risks and uncertainties that they face. This responsibility statement was approved by the Board of Directors on 30 March 2009 and was signed by Peter Mason, Chairman and Graham Kettleborough, Chief Executive PRINCIPAL RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES The Group's management of insurance risk is a critical aspect of the business. The primary insurance activity carried out by the Group comprises the assumption of the risk of loss from persons that are directly subject to the risk. Such risks in general relate to life, accident, health and financial perils that may arise from an insurable event, with the majority of the Group's exposure relating to mortality risk on individual lives, predominantly in the UK. As such, the Group is exposed to the uncertainty surrounding the timing and severity of claims under the related contracts. The Group is also exposed to a range of financial risks through its life assurance contracts, financial assets, financial liabilities, including investment contracts and borrowings, and its reinsurance assets. In particular, the key financial risk is that in the long-term its investment proceeds are not sufficient to fund the obligations arising from its insurance and investment contracts. The most important components of this financial risk are market risk (interest rate risk and equity price risk), and credit risk, including the risk of reinsurer default. The Group has procedures for setting and monitoring the Group's assets and liability position with the objective of ensuring that the Group can always meet its obligations without undue cost and in accordance with the Group's internal and regulatory capital requirements. Detailed information on the characteristics and management of insurance and financial risks borne by the Group is provided in Notes 4 and 5 respectively of the Company's published financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2008 and included below under Management of Insurance Risk and Management of Financial Risk. In addition, detailed information on accounting estimates and judgements is included in Note 3 of the Company's published consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2008 and included below under the heading Accounting Estimates and Judgements. There have been no changes in the nature and incidence of the principal risks and uncertainties, referred to above, during the twelve months ended 31 December 2008, except in relation to volatility in global investment markets. The impact of this on reported results for the twelve months ended 31 December 2008 is set out in the commentary under 'IFRS Result' and 'EEV Result' in the Operating and Financial Review in the financial statements. Clearly there is continuing significant uncertainty with regard to the direction of investment markets and attention is drawn particularly to the sensitivity of the reported embedded value of the Company to investment market and interest rate movements set out in Note 7 to the European Embedded Value Basis Supplementary Information in the financial statements. ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES AND JUDGEMENTS The Group makes estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and also makes critical accounting judgements in applying the Group's accounting policies. Such estimates and judgements are continually evaluated and are based on historical experience and other factors, including expectations of future events that are believed to be reasonable. The more critical areas where accounting estimates and judgements are made are described below. (a) Classification of long-term contracts The Group has exercised judgement in its classification of long-term business as between insurance and investment contracts, which fall to be accounted for differently in accordance with the policies set out in Note 2 of the financial statements, Accounting Policies. Insurance contracts are those where significant risk is transferred to the Group under the contract and judgement is applied in assessing whether the risk so transferred is significant, especially with regard to pensions contracts, which are predominantly, but not exclusively, created for investment purposes. (b) Estimates of future benefits payments arising from long-term insurance contracts The Group makes estimates of the expected number of deaths for each of the years that it is exposed to risk. These estimates are based on either standard mortality tables or reinsurers' rate tables as appropriate, adjusted to reflect the Group's own experience. For contracts without fixed terms the Group has assumed that it will be able to increase charges to policyholders in future years, in line with emerging mortality experience. The Group has offered guaranteed annuity options within certain contracts. Estimates have been made of the number of contract holders who will exercise these options, in order to measure their value. Changes in investment conditions could result in significantly more contract holders exercising their options than the Group has assumed in determining the liabilities arising from these contracts. The Group makes estimates of future deaths, voluntary contract terminations, investment returns and administration expenses at the inception of long-term insurance contracts with fixed and guaranteed terms. These estimates, which are reconsidered annually, form the assumptions used to calculate the liabilities arising from these contracts. The assumptions used to establish insurance contract liabilities and appropriate sensitivities relating to variations in critical assumptions are disclosed in Note 25 of the financial statements. (c) Fair value of investment contracts Guaranteed income and guaranteed growth bonds The fair value of investment contract liabilities, in respect of guaranteed income and guaranteed growth bonds, (which are fully described in Note 5 of the financial statements and below in Management of Financial Risk) is established using a valuation technique, which approximates the following methodology: The fair value of the contract, measured at inception, is the purchase price paid for it. This price implies a retail market rate of interest prevailing at the inception of the contract, which is used to equate the contractual cash flows payable under the bond to the purchase price, including an allowance for expenses incurred in managing the contract; and Subsequent measurement of the liability at fair value reflects the impact of changes in retail market interest rates for these products: this is accomplished in practice by tracking movements in the less-than-5-year gilt index as the bonds are predominantly less than 5 years in term. Fair value measurement has been adopted to reduce volatility in reported earnings in the income statement as the liabilities so determined are measured in a way which is consistent with the fair value of the underlying invested financial assets. (d) Liability for future redress in respect of mortgage endowment misselling complaints Included within insurance contract liabilities is a liability in respect of amounts anticipated to be payable as redress for upheld mortgage endowment misselling complaints. In establishing this liability the Group makes estimates about the number of future upheld complaints (taking into account the number of complaints received, the number of complaints time-barred and the number of complaints which are admitted) and about the average cost of redress per upheld complaint. These estimates are determined, taking into account historical experience and investment return projections. Variations in these estimates could result in higher or lower than expected numbers of upheld complaints and higher or lower than expected amounts of redress per upheld complaint. The impact of variations in these assumptions is disclosed in Note 25 of the financial statements. (e) Deferred acquisition costs and deferred income The Group applies judgement in deciding the amount of direct costs that are incurred in acquiring the rights to provide investment management services in connection with the issue of investment contracts. Judgement is also applied in establishing the amortisation of the assets representing these contractual rights and the recognition of initial fees received in respect of these contracts. The assets are amortised on a straight-line basis over the expected lifetime of the investment management service contracts and deferred income is amortised on a straight-line basis over the expected period over which it is earned. Estimates are applied in determining the lifetime of the investment management service contracts and in determining the recoverability of the contractual rights assets by reference to expected future income and expense levels. This test for recoverability is performed using best estimates of future cash flows, using a market consistent estimate of future investment returns. (f) Amortisation of acquired value of in-force business The Group applies accounting estimates and judgement in determining the fair value, amortisation and recoverability of acquired in-force business relating to insurance and investment contracts. The acquired value of in-force business has been amortised on a basis that reflects the expected profit stream arising from the business acquired at the date of acquisition. This profit stream is estimated from the experienced termination rates, expenses of management and age of the individual contract holders as well as global estimates of investment growth, based on recent experience at the date of acquisition. Acquired value of in-force business is tested for recoverability by reference to expected future income levels. MANAGEMENT OF INSURANCE RISK Introduction The Group's management of insurance risk is a critical aspect of the business. The primary insurance activity carried out by the Group comprises the assumption of the risk of loss from persons that are directly subject to the risk. Such risks in general relate to life, accident, health and financial perils that may arise from an insurable event, with the majority of the Group's exposure relating to mortality risk on individual lives, predominantly in the UK. As such, the Group is exposed to the uncertainty surrounding the timing and severity of claims under the related contracts. The Group manages its insurance risk through underwriting limits, approval procedures for new products or for policies that exceed set limits, pricing guidelines, reinsurance and monitoring of emerging issues. The Group is substantially closed to new insurance business and, in practice, only sells a limited amount of new insurance business to existing policyholders: the assumption of new insurance risks is, accordingly, limited. The principal risk is that the frequency and severity of claims is adverse to that expected. The theory of probability is applied to the pricing and provisioning for a portfolio of insurance contracts. Insured events are, by their nature, random, and the actual number and size of events during any one year may vary from those estimated using established statistical techniques. The risk under assurance policies is partly naturally hedged by risks under annuity policies where the exposure is to the risk of longevity. Underwriting strategy The aim of the underwriting strategy is to avoid the assumption of undue concentration of risk on any one life and there are defined underwriting procedures embracing the limits on cover for individual policies. Reinsurance strategy The aim of the reinsurance strategy is to reinforce the underwriting strategy by avoiding the retention of undue concentration of risk on any one life. Accordingly, there is a policy on reinsurance, which limits the total exposure on any one policy. However, there are a small number of policies which breach these limits due to historical reasons. The Group holds a wide range of reinsurance treaties, including wholly reinsured business and risk premium reinsurance which includes original terms reinsurance and facultative reinsurance. Ceded reinsurance contains credit risk, and such reinsurance recoverables are reported after deductions for known insolvencies and uncollectable items. The Group monitors the financial condition of reinsurers on an ongoing basis and reviews its reinsurance arrangements periodically. The Group has a policy in place of only entering into new reinsurance contracts with reinsurers rated A and above. Terms and conditions of insurance contracts The terms and conditions of insurance contracts that have a material effect on the amount, timing and uncertainty of future cash flows arising from insurance contracts are set out in the product analyses below, which give an assessment of the Group's main products and the ways in which it manages the associated risks. Sums assured - gross and net of reinsurance 31 December 2008 31 December 2007 Gross Net Gross Net £000 £000 £000 £000 Annuities-immediate (per 4,568 4,514 4,200 4,108 annum) Long-term with DPF 72,728 204 75,697 204 Long-term without DPF 5,024,349 3,632,144 5,233,417 3,712,227 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total 5,101,645 3,636,862 5,313,314 3,716,539 ========== ========== ========== ========== Long-term insurance contracts - immediate annuities Product features This type of annuity is purchased with a single premium at outset, and is paid to the policyholder for the remainder of his/her lifetime. Annuities may be level or escalate at a fixed rate. There are two types of immediate annuities: retirement and voluntary. Voluntary annuities are made at the discretion of the policyholder. Policyholders of personal pensions may have to purchase an immediate annuity on retirement. Other variations (joint life annuities) are to continue the annuity (at the same level or lower) to the surviving spouse or partner. Payments are often guaranteed to be paid for a minimum term regardless of survival (e.g. 5 or 10 years). Profit on existing contracts arises when mortality and investment experience are better than expected. All risks and rewards associated with this type of product accrue to shareholders. Management of risks The main risks associated with this product are longevity and investment risks. Longevity risks arise as the annuities are paid for the lifetime of the policyholder, and this risk is managed through the initial pricing of the annuity. Investment risk depends on the extent to which the annuity payments under the contracts have been matched by suitable assets. The Group regularly monitors the asset matching for these contracts as explained in the Market Risk Management section of Note 5 of the financial statements and included below under Management of Financial Risks. The key risks are managed through appropriate pricing and product design. Reinsurance is not generally used for this product, although there is a small number of reinsured policies. Underwriting is not used for this product. In respect of mortality risk (longevity), the pricing assumption is based on both historic in-house and industry available information on mortality experience for the population of policyholders, including allowances for future mortality improvements. In respect of investment risk, with this type of product the lump sum premium is available for the Group to invest at the start of the contract. The asset mix will consist of fixed interest securities, including gilts, with varying redemption dates. The income earned on the investment will not usually be sufficient to cover the annuity and the expense outgo, so each year part of the lump sum will be disinvested, which is taken account of in the asset mix, in order to balance the fund. If annuitants die as expected the assets referred to above would be appropriate. However, in most cases annuitants will not die as expected and, therefore, the Group will need to buy and sell assets as necessary throughout the term of the policies to minimise the risk of mismatch. This position is monitored on a regular basis. Details of default risk on the fixed interest securities are set out in the Credit Risk Management section of Note 5 of the financial statements and included below under Management of Financial Risks. Concentration of insurance risks The tables for immediate annuity contracts set out below illustrate the concentration of risk based on two bands of contracts grouped by the annuity payable each year for each annuity policy insured. Annuity payable each year for each life Total annuities payable each year insured Before After reassurance reassurance As at 31 December 2008 £000 % £000 % £0 - £25,000 4,523 99.0 4,505 99.8 More than £25,000 45 1.0 9 0.2 4,568 100.0 4,514 100.0 As at 31 December 2007 £0 - £25,000 4,155 98.9 4,099 99.8 More than £25,000 45 1.1 9 0.2 4,200 100.0 4,108 100.0 Long-term insurance contracts - with discretionary participation features Product features The Group historically wrote with-profits business in the UK, where the policyholder benefits comprise a guaranteed sum assured payable on death or at maturity, to which may be added a discretionary annual bonus and a discretionary terminal bonus. Management of risks This business is wholly reassured to Guardian and hence the only risk retained by the Group for this business is the risk of default by the reinsurer. This risk is detailed in the Credit Risk Management section of Note 5 of the financial statements and included below under Management of Financial Risks. Long-term insurance contracts - without discretionary participation features Product features The Group has written both non-linked and unit-linked contracts, which include death and morbidity benefits on a whole life, endowment and term assurance basis. For contracts where death is the insured risk, the most significant factors that could increase risk are epidemics (such as AIDS, SARS or a flu pandemic) or widespread changes in lifestyle, such as eating, smoking and exercise habits, resulting in earlier or more claims than expected. Management of risks Unit-linked insurance contracts are contracts where monthly reviewable charges are made for insurance risk and administration charges and consist mainly of regular unit-linked endowments where the primary purpose is to provide an investment return. In addition, the policyholder is insured against death and serious injury. Unit-linked contracts operate by investing the policyholders' premiums into pooled investment funds of the Group, the policyholders' share of the fund being represented by units. The benefit is payable on death, or maturity if earlier, the amount payable on death being subject to a guaranteed minimum amount. Therefore, the Group is exposed only to insurance risk insofar as the value of the unit-linked fund is lower than the guaranteed minimum death benefit. The maturity or surrender value depends on the investment performance of the underlying fund and on the level of charges levied by the Group for policy administration fees, mortality and other charges. For contracts with fixed and guaranteed benefits and fixed future premiums, there are no mitigating terms and conditions that reduce the insurance risk accepted. This is the case for a small proportion (approximately 5% of total sums assured) of the life assurance business sold by the Group. For the remainder of the business, operated on a quasi-linked basis, the Group charges for mortality risk on a monthly basis and has the right to alter these charges based on its mortality experience and hence minimise its exposure to mortality risk. The Group also reserves the right at regular intervals to change the premium payable in the light of charges made for insurance risk and administration services and the investment performance of the assets notionally backing these contracts. Delays in implementing increases in charges and market or regulatory restraints over the extent of the increases may reduce this mitigating effect. A number of these contracts also include Permanent Health Insurance (PHI) benefits which have reviewable charges and the Group reserves the right to alter these charges based on its morbidity experience and hence to minimise its exposure to morbidity risk. Delays in implementing increases in charges and market or regulatory restraints over the extent of the increases may reduce this mitigating effect. Reinsurance is used extensively on the business described above to mitigate concentrations of insurance risk. The insurance risk is further managed through pricing, product design and, for non-linked and quasi-linked contracts, appropriate investment strategy. For units held under unit-linked contracts all of the investment risk is borne by the policyholder with the exception of a small number of contracts which provide for a minimum guaranteed rate of return, as investment performance directly affects the value of the unit fund and hence the benefits payable. Concentration of insurance risk The tables for long term insurance contracts set out below illustrate the concentration of risk based on five bands of contracts grouped by benefits assured for each policy assured. Benefits assured for each Total benefits assured life assured Before reinsurance After reinsurance In £000's bands £m % £m % As at 31 December 2008 0 - 250 4,930 96.8 3,611 99.4 250 - 500 116 2.3 20 0.6 500 - 750 27 0.5 1 - 750 - 1,000 12 0.2 - - More than 1,000 12 0.2 - - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- 5,097 100.0 3,632 100.0 ========== ========== ========== ========== As at 31 December 2007 0 - 250 5,136 96.8 3,694 99.5 250 - 500 117 2.2 17 0.4 500 - 750 33 0.6 2 0.1 750 - 1,000 12 0.2 - - More than 1,000 12 0.2 - - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- 5,310 100.0 3,713 100.0 ========== ========== ========== ========== In addition to the above the Group has, at 31 December 2008, a total of approximately £10.3m per annum of retained PHI sums assured (31 December 2007: approximately £17m). The Group does not retain PHI sums assured on any one life greater than £25,000 per annum. Long-term insurance contracts - guaranteed annuity options Product features There are a small number of unit-linked deferred annuity policies with guarantees regarding the rate at which the policyholder is able to convert the unit fund into an annuity at retirement, which creates an insurance liability. At retirement the fund available can either be transferred to another provider, used to purchase an annuity with a Group company at the annuity rates then applying, or used to purchase an annuity from a Group company at guaranteed annuity rates written into the policy document. The guaranteed annuity rates are only available in certain circumstances. Policyholders gain the benefit of whichever of the then-current annuity rates and guaranteed annuity rates give them the higher benefits. Management of risks The main risks associated with this product are longevity and market risks. These were controlled through product design and pricing. However, the guaranteed annuity rates were set during the 1960s and 1970s, when these products were sold. As these rates are no longer suitable in current conditions, appropriate technical provisions are held to reflect the risk arising from the guarantees. The longevity assumptions underlying the technical provisions are based on both historic in-house and industry available information on mortality experience for the population of policyholders, including allowances for future mortality improvements. Concentration of insurance risks There are 292 such policies in force as at 31 December 2008 (as at 31 December 2007: 330). The underlying contracts have total unit funds of £2.6m (as at 31 December 2007: £4.1m), with the largest fund being less than £0.4m. Other risks on insurance contracts Apart from financial risks relating to the financial assets, which support life assurance contracts, as set out in Note 5 of the financial statements and included below under Management of Financial risks, there are other significant types of risk pertaining to life insurance contracts, as follows: Expense risk The Group strategy is to outsource all operational activities to third party administrators in order to reduce the significant expense inefficiencies that would arise with fixed and semi-fixed costs on a diminishing policy base. There are, however, risks associated with the use of outsourcing. In particular, there will be a need in future to renegotiate the terms of the outsourcing arrangements as the existing agreements expire. There is also a risk that, at some point in the future, third party administrators could default on their obligations. The Group monitors the financial soundness of third party administrators and it has retained step-in rights on the more significant of these agreements. There are also contractual arrangements in place which provide for financial penalties in the event of default by the administration service providers. Mortgage endowment misselling complaints The life businesses have experienced a significant level of complaints from mortgage endowment policyholders since their first regulatory mailing programme in 2000. In response to this, the Life business hold mortgage endowment complaints redress provisions. The Group continues to monitor closely, among other factors, the volume of complaints and the value of compensation paid to policyholders in order to assess the continuing adequacy of the provisions. There remains however a residual risk that at some point in future the levels of complaints received may prove to be higher than those anticipated within the provision. Persistency risk Persistency risk is the risk that the investor cancels the contract or discontinues paying new premiums into the contract, thereby exposing the Group to a loss resulting from an adverse movement in the actual experience compared to that expected in the product pricing. Although changes in the levels of persistency would not adversely affect the result in the short term they would reduce future profits available from the contract. MANAGEMENT OF FINANCIAL RISK Introduction The Group's management of financial risk is a critical aspect of the business. For a significant proportion of the Group's life insurance contracts, the cash flows are linked, directly or indirectly, to the performance of the financial assets which support those contracts. This gives rise to financial risk, which also arises on the Group's investment contracts in relation to financial assets which support these contracts. The Group has procedures for setting and monitoring the Group's assets and liability position with the objective of ensuring that the Group can always meet its obligations without undue cost and in accordance with the Group's internal and regulatory capital requirements. The Group is exposed to a range of financial risks through its life assurance contracts, financial assets, financial liabilities, including investment contracts and borrowings, and its reinsurance assets. In particular, the key financial risk is that in the long-term its investment proceeds are not sufficient to fund the obligations arising from its insurance and investment contracts. The most important components of this financial risk are market risk (interest rate risk and equity price risk), and credit risk, including the risk of reinsurer default. The Group manages these risks within an asset liability management (ALM) framework that has been developed to achieve long-term investment returns at least equal to its obligations under insurance and investment contracts, with minimal risk. Within the ALM framework the Group periodically produces reports at legal entity and asset and liability class level, which are circulated to the Group's key management. The principal technique of the Group's ALM framework is to match assets to the liabilities arising from insurance and investment contracts by reference to the type of benefits payable to policyholders, with separate portfolios of assets being maintained for each distinct class of liability. For unit-linked contracts the Group's objective is to match the liabilities, both insurance and investment contract liabilities, with units in the fund to which the value of the liability is linked. For other business, the Group's objective is to match the timing of cash flows from insurance and investment contract liabilities with the timing of cash flows from assets subject to identical or similar risks. By matching the cash flows of liabilities with those of suitable assets, market risk is managed effectively, whilst liquidity risk is minimised. These processes to manage the risks, which the Group has not changed from previous periods, ensure that the Group is able to meet its obligations under its contractual liabilities as they fall due. Terms and conditions of investment contracts The terms and conditions of insurance contracts that have a material effect on the amount, timing and uncertainty of future cash flows arising from insurance contracts are set out in Note 4 of the financial statements and included above under Management of Insurance Risk. The terms and conditions of investment contracts that have a material effect on the amount, timing and uncertainty of future cash flows arising from investment contracts are set out in the product analyses below. The Group provides three types of investment contract which are predominantly written in the UK. Unit-linked savings These are typically single premium contracts, with the premiums invested in a pooled investment fund (usually an internal fund of the life assurance company), where the policyholder's investment in the fund is represented by units. There is a small additional benefit payable on death which does not transfer significant insurance risk to the Group for these contracts. The benefits payable at maturity or surrender of the contract are the bid value of these units less surrender penalties, where applicable. The key variables affecting the timing and uncertainty of future cash flows are investment performance, persistency and expense inflation. Unit-linked pensions The contractual features are similar to unit-linked savings, except they may be single or regular premium contracts. The benefits payable on retirement purchase an open market pension annuity. The key variables affecting the timing and uncertainty of future cash flows are investment performance, interest risks, persistency and expense inflation. Guaranteed Income and Growth Bonds Guaranteed Income bonds are mainly single premium contracts for a fixed term offering, either monthly or annually, fixed payments together with a return of premium at the maturity date. A guaranteed growth bond variant has also been issued which offers no income but a higher guaranteed payment at the maturity date. The key variables affecting the timing and uncertainty of cash flows are expense inflation, interest rates, persistency and mortality. Risks associated with investment contracts The risks associated with investment contracts are expense risk, persistency risk and market risk. Market risk is the risk that the fair value of future cash flows will fluctuate because of a change in interest or foreign currency exchange rates or in equity prices and the consequent effect that this has on the value of charges earned by the Group and on any guarantees in the contracts. Expense risk is of the same nature as described under other risks on insurance contracts in Note 4 (see page 59). Persistency risk is the risk that the investor cancels the contract or discontinues paying new premiums into the contract, thereby exposing the Group to a loss resulting from an adverse movement in the actual experience compared to that expected in the product pricing. Although changes in the levels of persistency would not adversely affect the result in the short term they would reduce future profits available from the contract. Market risk management The notes below explain how market risks are managed using the categories utilised in the Group's ALM framework. In particular, the ALM framework requires the management of interest risk, equity price risk, and liquidity risk at the portfolio level, so that the appropriate risks for each portfolio may be managed in an effective way. The Group is not significantly exposed to foreign exchange risk as the only assets denominated in foreign currencies are matched by corresponding insurance contract provisions and financial liabilities. To reflect the Group risk management approach the required disclosures for interest rate, equity price and liquidity risks, as appropriate, are given separately for each portfolio of the ALM framework. The following tables reconcile the balance sheet to the classes and portfolios used in the Group's ALM framework. 31 December 2008 Insurance Other Guaranteed contracts Unit-linked Annuities Non-linked Total bonds with DPF contracts in payment contracts Other Assets £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Intangible assets Deferred acquisition costs 8,590 - - - - - 8,590 Acquired value of in-force business Insurance contracts 16,866 - - - - - 16,866 Investment contracts 11,610 - - - - - 11,610 Reinsurers' share of insurance contract provisions 182,693 - 79,484 100,093 - 3,116 - Amounts deposited with reinsurers 22,181 - - 22,181 - - - Investment properties 3,432 - - 2,932 - - 500 Financial assets Equity securities at fair value through income 363,879 - 2 363,872 - 5 - Holdings in collective investment schemes at fair value through income 576,502 - 2,578 554,817 - 8,041 11,066 Debt securities at fair value through income 279,104 51,360 - 129,517 70,957 21,392 5,878 Insurance and other receivables 11,056 2,127 - - - 1,423 7,506 Prepayments 1,600 - - - - - 1,600 Derivative financial instruments 5,570 - - 5,570 - - - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- --------- --------- Total financial assets 1,237,711 53,487 2,580 1,053,776 70,957 30,861 26,050 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- --------- --------- Reinsurers' share of accrued policyholder claims 4,100 - - - - 1,192 2,908 Cash and cash equivalent 192,381 3,031 368 50,257 7,260 13,135 118,330 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- --------- --------- --------- Total 1,679,564 56,518 82,432 1,229,239 78,217 48,304 184,854 Assets ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========= Insurance Other Guaranteed contracts Unit-linked Annuities non-linked Total bonds with DPF contracts in payment contracts Other Liabilities £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Bank overdraft 1,094 - - 38 - 822 234 Insurance contract provisions 923,506 - 82,432 728,179 78,217 34,678 - Financial liabilities Investment contracts 558,542 55,119 - 494,449 - 8,974 - Borrowings 8,358 - - - - - 8,358 Derivative financial instruments 70 - - 70 - - - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ------- Total financial liabilities 566,970 55,119 - 494,519 - 8,974 8,358 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- ---------- ------- Provisions 3,397 - - - - 179 3,218 Deferred tax liabilities 10,798 90 - - - 147 10,561 Reinsurance payables 1,397 - - - - 253 1,144 Payables related to direct insurance and investment contracts 23,891 1,309 - - - 942 21,640 Deferred income 14,575 - - - - - 14,575 Income taxes 1,074 - - - - - 1,074 Other payables 6,494 - - - - 2,309 4,185 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ------- Total liabil- ities 1,553,196 56,518 82,432 1,222,736 78,217 48,304 64,989 ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ======= 31 December 2007 Insurance Other Guaranteed contracts Unit-linked Annuities Non-linked Total bonds with DPF contracts in payment contracts Other Assets £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Intangible assets Deferred acquisition costs 9,542 - - - - - 9,542 Acquired value of in-force business Insurance contracts 19,427 - - - - - 19,427 Investment contracts 12,627 - - - - - 12,627 Reinsurers' share of insurance contract provisions 212,353 - 87,279 122,327 - 2,747 - Amounts deposited with reinsurers 27,558 - - 27,558 - - - Investment properties 4,983 - - 4,483 - - 500 Financial assets Equity securities at fair value through income 743,670 - 1,020 740,105 - 2,545 - Holdings in collective investment schemes at fair value through income 508,857 - 2,093 467,916 - 5,224 33,624 Debt securities at fair value through income 247,152 80,844 - 84,424 59,589 18,727 3,568 Insurance and other receivables 15,131 2,750 - - - 874 11,507 Prepayments 284 - - - - - 284 Derivative financial instruments 9,525 - - 9,525 - - - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Total financial assets 1,524,619 83,594 3,113 1,301,970 59,589 27,370 48,983 ---------- --------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Reinsurers' share of accrued policyholder claims 4,661 - - - - 1,109 3,552 Cash and cash equivalent 225,127 2,834 399 104,291 2,965 17,107 97,531 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Total 2,040,897 86,428 90,791 1,560,629 62,554 48,333 192,162 assets ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ======== Insurance Other Guaranteed contracts Unit-linked Annuities non-linked Total bonds with DPF contracts in payment contracts Other Liabilities £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Bank overdraft 1,229 - - - - - 1,229 Insurance contract provisions 1,110,848 - 90,791 922,419 62,554 35,084 - Financial liabilities Investment contracts 726,503 85,367 - 630,844 - 10,292 - Borrowings 12,469 - - - - - 12,469 Derivative financial instruments 265 - - 265 - - - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ------- Total financial liabilities 739,237 85,367 - 631,109 - 10,292 12,469 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ------- Provisions 3,575 - - - - 159 3,416 Deferred tax liabilities 11,847 (250) - - - 25 12,072 Reinsurance payables 1,622 - - - - 372 1,250 Payables related to direct insurance and investment contracts 22,859 1,311 - - - 504 21,044 Deferred income 16,362 - - - - - 16,362 Income taxes 743 - - - - - 743 Other payables 6,791 - - - - 1,897 4,894 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ------- Total liab- ilities 1,915,113 86,428 90,791 1,553,528 62,554 48,333 73,479 ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ======= Guaranteed bonds These contracts are for a fixed term with financial benefits that are fixed and guaranteed at the inception of the contract. The Group manages its market risk, its only material risk on these products, by matching closely contracts written with fixed interest debt securities of a suitable duration and quality, as indicated by their credit rating. The result is that, for these contracts, the Group's primary financial risk is the risk that interest income and capital redemptions from the financial assets backing the liabilities are insufficient to fund the guaranteed benefits payable. By using fixed interest debt securities, there is no exposure to equity price risk for this portfolio. Regular monitoring of the interest rate risk is carried out by analysis of expected cash flows from the financial assets held with those for the liabilities. Cash flows for the liabilities are determined assuming all contracts continue until their expected maturity date. This analysis also enables the Group to control its liquidity risk for this portfolio. The following tables indicate the amount and timing of the cash flows arising from the liabilities in this category of the Group's ALM framework. 31 December 2008 Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) Carrying Carrying 0-1 year 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years values and amounts cash flows arising from: £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Assets backing liabilities: Debt 51,360 35,498 12,455 6,907 - securities at fair value through income Insurance 2,127 2,127 - - - and other receivables Cash and 3,031 3,031 - - - cash equivalents ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total 56,518 40,656 12,455 6,907 - Liabilities 56,518 36,628 13,982 7,135 - ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Difference - 4,028 (1,527) (228) - in expected cash flows ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== 31 December 2007 Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) Carrying Carrying 0-1 year 1-2 years 2-3 years 3-4 years values and amounts cash flows arising from: £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Assets backing liabilities: Debt 80,844 36,480 35,126 11,899 5,691 securities at fair value through income Insurance 2,750 2,750 -- -- -- and other receivables Cash and 2,834 2,834 -- -- -- cash equivalents ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total 86,428 42,064 35,126 11,899 5,691 Liabilities 86,428 38,137 35,480 12,579 5,068 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Difference -- 3,927 (354) (680) 623 in expected cash flows ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== These contracts can be surrendered before maturity for a cash surrender value. For these contracts the Group is not required to separately measure this embedded derivative at fair value. The terms are such that the surrender value will broadly change in line with changes in the market value of the matching assets, and so there is no significant risk of mismatch. Sensitivity analysis - interest rate risk The sensitivity analysis for interest rate risk illustrates how changes in the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market rates at the reporting date. The carrying amount of both the liabilities and the assets, which are fixed interest debt securities valued at fair value, will be sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates. By reviewing the matching of the cash flows by term, on a quarterly basis, management aim to minimize the impact of a change in values due to a parallel movement in all yield curves. A 100 basis point increase or decrease in interest yields would not have a material effect on either profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and for the year ended 31 December 2007 or shareholder equity as at those dates. Insurance contracts with discretionary participation features The Group historically wrote with-profits business in the UK, where the policyholder benefits comprise a discretionary annual bonus and a discretionary terminal bonus. The with-profits business is wholly reinsured to Guardian and hence the only risk retained by the Group for this business is the risk of default by the reinsurer. This risk is detailed under 'Credit Risk Management' below. With-profits business can be surrendered before maturity for cash surrender specified in the contractual terms and conditions. The impact on the Group's current year results would be minimal as any payments to policyholders are matched by payments from Guardian under the reinsurance contract For all these contracts the Group is not required to separately measure this embedded derivative at fair value. A maturity analysis based on the earliest contractual repayment date would present all the liabilities as due in the earliest period of the table because these options can be exercised immediately by all policyholders. For a small element of the with-profits business, policyholders have the option to invest a portion of their investment in unit-linked funds as an alternative to the with-profits fund. In this case a portion of the business is retained, with the management of financial risks of this portion being the same as described under 'Unit-linked Contracts' below. Unit-linked contracts For unit-linked contracts, which may be insurance or investment contracts, the Group matches all the financial liabilities, which are linked to units in the insurance company funds, with assets on which the unit prices are based. This approach results in the Group having no significant market risk (being interest rate, equity price and currency risks) or credit risk on these contracts. Its primary exposure to market risk is the risk of volatility in asset management fees due to the impact of interest rate and equity price movements on the fair value of the assets held in the linked funds, on which investment management fees are based. In practice, there remain a number of areas where there is a residual risk as follows: Surplus units Market risk arises from the existence of surplus units (over and above requirements to match policyholder unit liabilities) in the insurance company funds. Such surplus units (which effectively back surplus carried forward in the long-term insurance funds) arise because the number of units in the funds are in decline. Mortgage endowment misselling redress provision Market risk arises in two ways in respect of the redress provisions for mortgage endowment misselling. The first is that a fall in equity prices directly increases the cost of future redress payments. In addition it is also likely that a large fall in equity prices would increase the propensity for policyholders to make a complaint about their mortgage endowment policies. The sensitivity of the redress provision to equity price changes is disclosed in Note 26 of the financial statements. Guaranteed annuity options For a small number of unit-linked contracts guarantees exist regarding the rate at which the policyholder is able to convert the unit fund into an annuity at retirement, as described above. As the policyholders gain the benefit of whichever of the then-current annuity rates and guaranteed annuity rates give them the higher benefits, this creates an interest rate risk, in that yields available at the time the option is taken may be lower than those assumed in the guaranteed rates. A provision is held for the cost of this guarantee. Guarantees in Timed Investment Funds Investment guarantees have been made in respect of policies invested in the Group's Timed Investment Funds whereby the price paid to policyholders for their units on death or maturity will always be the highest price that the units have reached during their period of investment in the funds. Although there is a charge paid by policyholders for this guarantee there is a risk to shareholders that this will be insufficient to meet the full cost of this guarantee: this risk is managed within the investment strategy of the fund (see Note 25(f) of the financial statements for more details). A provision is held for the cost of this guarantee. The key assumption in determining this provision is the level of potential future fall in equities. An increase in this assumption, from 25% to 30%, would result in a £0.2m decrease in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and to shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (the increase would not have had a material effect for the year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007) Change in insurance contract provisions When calculating insurance contract provisions for the non-unit component of liabilities under linked contracts, allowance is made for both future investment management charges and investment expenses as a proportion of unit funds. As investment charges are generally in excess of investment expenses this surplus is used to offset future administration expenses on the contracts. In a falling market the absolute amount of the surplus of investment charges over investment expenses would reduce and hence this might lead to an increase in insurance contract provisions. Bonus units Certain contracts (primarily investment contracts) contain a condition that bonus units are allocated at fixed dates in the future, essentially as a rebate of a portion of the management fees charged during the period since the last such bonus allocation. Financial assets are held to back the units that will be allocated, so as to remove the risk of adverse market price movements. This results in an apparent excess of financial assets over liabilities with an exposure to market risk. Unit-linked contracts can be surrendered before maturity for cash surrender specified in the contractual terms and conditions. The terms are such that the surrender value will either be equal to the carrying amount of the contract liability, or in some cases lower due to surrender penalties specified in the contract terms and conditions. The impact on the Group's current year results would therefore be minimal. For all these contracts the Group is not required to separately measure this embedded derivative at fair value. A maturity analysis based on the earliest contractual repayment date would present all the liabilities as due in the earliest period of the table because these options can be exercised immediately by all policyholders. Sensitivity analysis - equity risk A decrease of 10% in the value of the assets would reduce asset management fees, which would result in a £0.8m decrease in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and to shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007: £0.9m decrease). Annuities in payment These are contracts which pay guaranteed financial benefits, generally monthly, for the lifetime of the policyholder, and in some cases of their spouse. For certain contracts payments are guaranteed to be paid for a minimum term regardless of survival (e.g. for 5 or 10 years). The terms are guaranteed at the inception of the contract. The financial component of these contracts is a guaranteed fixed interest rate and hence the Group's primary financial risk on these contracts is the risk that interest income and capital redemptions from the financial assets backing the liabilities are insufficient to fund the benefits payable. The Group manages the interest rate risk by matching closely new contracts written with fixed interest debt securities of a suitable duration and quality, as indicated by their credit rating. By using fixed interest debt securities, there is no exposure to equity price risk for this portfolio. Regular monitoring of the interest rate risk is carried out by analysis of expected cash flows from the financial assets held with those for the liabilities. Cash flows for the liabilities are determined by means of projecting expected cash flows from the contracts using prudent estimates of mortality. The following tables indicate the estimated amount and timing of the cash flows arising from the liabilities in this category of the Group's ALM framework. 31 December 2008 Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) Carrying Carrying 0-5 years 5-10 years 10-15 15-20 >20 years values and amounts years years cash flows arising from: £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Assets backing liabilities: Debt 70,957 21,085 19,958 16,581 22,341 41,035 securities at fair value through income Cash and 7,260 7,260 - - - - cash equivalents Total 78,217 28,345 19,958 16,581 22,341 41,035 Liabilities 78,217 22,488 20,513 18,228 15,705 45,216 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Difference - 5,857 (555) (1,647) 6,636 (4,181) in expected cash flows ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== 31 December 2007 Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) Carrying Carrying 0-5 years 5-10 years 10-15 15-20 >20 years values and amounts years years cash flows arising from: £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Assets backing liabilities: Debt 59,589 21,176 17,538 16,929 21,677 34,469 securities at fair value through income Cash and 2,965 2,965 -- -- -- -- cash equivalents ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total 62,554 24,141 17,538 16,929 21,677 34,469 Liabilities 62,554 20,434 18,611 16,541 14,258 39,078 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Difference -- 3,707 (1,073) 388 7,419 (4,609) in expected cash flows ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== Sensitivity analysis - interest rate risk The sensitivity analysis for interest rate risk illustrates how changes in the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market rates at the reporting date. The carrying amount of both the liabilities and the assets, which are debt securities valued at fair value, will be sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates. By reviewing the matching of the cash flows by term, on a quarterly basis, management aim to minimize the impact of a change in values due to a parallel movement in all yield curves. An increase of 100 basis points in interest yields of the matching assets would result in a decrease of £0.3m in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and in shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007: £0.4m decrease). An increase or decrease of 100 basis points in interest yields would result in a decrease of £1.7m in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and in shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007: £0.5m decrease). Other non-linked contracts This category consists of two groups of contracts. The first group, representing £10.1m of liabilities out of the total of £48.3m as at 31 December 2008 (£10.9m out of the total of £48.3m as at 31 December 2007) is operated on a quasi-linked basis; these are contracts for which, while not classed as unit-linked due to the fact that there is no surrender value which depends on unit values, all other aspects of the risk management of these contracts are the same as for unit-linked contracts. As a result the Group operates the same risk management processes as described under 'Unit-linked Contracts' above. The following is a maturity analysis of the contractual liabilities for this group of contracts, prepared on an estimated basis using estimates of mortality. The analysis represents the gross liabilities, before taking into account offsetting linked assets that are scheduled to mature in a similar profile. Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 >20 years years years years years £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 As at 31 December 22,686 24,813 21,543 10,105 4,080 2008 ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= As at 31 December 24,427 28,028 27,378 15,352 6,580 2007 ========= ========= ========= ========= ========= Sensitivity analysis - equity risk An increase or decrease of 10% in the value of the assets which back this group of contracts would not have a material effect on either profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and the year ended 31 December 2007 or shareholder equity as at those dates. The second group of contracts comprises contracts which pay guaranteed benefits on death or other insurance event, the terms being guaranteed at the inception of the contract. The financial component of these contracts is a guaranteed fixed interest rate, and hence, the Group's primary financial risk on these contracts is the risk that interest income and capital redemptions from the financial assets backing the liabilities are insufficient to fund the benefits payable. The Group manages the interest rate risk for this group by closely matching new contracts written with financial assets of a suitable duration and quality, as indicated by their credit rating. By using fixed interest debt securities there is no exposure to equity price risk. Regular monitoring of the interest rate risk is carried out by analysis of expected cash flows from the financial assets held with those for the liabilities. Cash flows for the liabilities are determined by means of projecting expected cash flows from the contracts using prudent estimates of mortality. The following tables indicate the estimated amount and timing of the cash flows arising from the liabilities in the second group of this category of the Group's ALM framework. 31 December 2008 Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) Carrying Carrying 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 >20 values and amounts years years years years years cash flows arising from: £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Assets backing liabilities: Reinsurers' 6,072 411 760 1,124 1,429 6,487 share of insurance contract provisions Debt 17,724 4,929 4,300 2,702 3,126 9,953 securities at fair value through income Insurance 1,423 1,423 - - - - and other receivables Cash and 12,967 12,967 - - - - cash equivalents ========== ======== ======= ======= ========= ====== Total 38,186 19,730 5,060 3,826 4,555 16,440 Liabilities 38,186 15,022 7,048 6,211 6,182 20,601 ---------- -------- ------- -------- --------- ------ Difference - 4,708 (1,988) (2,385) (1,627)(4,161) in expected cash flows ========== ======== ======= ======== ========= ====== 31 December 2007 Contractual cash flows (undiscounted) Carrying Carrying 0-5 5-10 10-15 15-20 >20 values and amounts years years years years years cash flows arising from: £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 Assets backing liabilities: Reinsurer's 6,784 459 849 1,256 1,596 7,248 share of insurance contract provisions Debt 15,970 4,811 4,819 3,322 3,908 11,508 securities at fair value through income Insurance 874 874 -- -- -- -- and other receivables Cash and 13,805 13,805 -- -- -- -- cash equivalents ---------- ------- ------ ------ --------- ------ Total 37,433 19,949 5,668 4,578 5,504 18,756 Liabilities 37,433 19,688 5,572 5,151 5,253 19,617 ---------- ------- ------ -------- -------- ------ Difference -- 261 96 (573) 251 (861) in expected cash flows ========== ======== ======= ======== ======== ====== Sensitivity analysis - interest rate risk The sensitivity analysis for interest rate risk illustrates how changes in the fair value or future cash flows of a financial instrument will fluctuate because of changes in market rates at the reporting date. The carrying amount of both the liabilities and the assets, which include debt securities valued at fair value, will be sensitive to changes in the level of interest rates. By reviewing the matching of the cash flows by term, on a quarterly basis, management aim to minimize the impact of a change in values due to a parallel movement in all yield curves. An increase of 100 basis points in interest yields would result in a decrease of £0.6m in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and in shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007: £0.2m increase). A decrease of 100 basis points in interest yields would result in an increase of £0.5m in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and in shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007: decrease of £0.2m). Certain of the contracts in this second group of contracts are invested in the Guaranteed Growth Fund which provides a return to policyholders which is linked to the average mortgage rate. This creates a risk due to a mismatch of assets and liabilities as there are no suitable assets available to back this guarantee and hence the assets are held in cash. This means that the return on assets held is lower than the return given to policyholders. Provisions are held to meet this shortfall, on appropriate assumptions as to future levels of return on assets and return given to policyholders. There is a risk that the return given to policyholders will increase by more than the return on assets due to inability to match the guarantee - that is, that the spread between mortgage rates and cash deposit rates will increase. Other This category represents assets and liabilities other than for insurance and investment contracts, relating, principally, to surplus net assets representing shareholder equity. Borrowings issued at variable rates of interest expose the Group to cash flow interest risk. Information on borrowings is provided in Note 28 on page 87. A 1% increase in interest rates would result in a decrease of £0.1m in profit for the year ended 31 December 2008 and in shareholder equity as at 31 December 2008 (year ended 31 December 2007 and as at 31 December 2007: £0.1m decrease). Credit risk management The Group has exposure to credit risk, which is the risk that a counterparty will be unable to pay amounts in full when due. Key areas where the Group is exposed to credit risk are: * Reinsurers' share of insurance liabilities; * Amounts deposited with reinsurer in relation to investment contracts; * Amounts due from reinsurers in respect of claims already paid; and * Counterparty risk with respect to corporate bond, deposits and debt securities. In addition there will be some exposures to individual policyholders, on amounts due on insurance contracts. These are tightly controlled, with plans being terminated or benefits amended if amounts owed are for more than 3 months, so there is no significant risk to the results of the Group. The Group structures the levels of credit risk it accepts by placing limits on its exposure to a single counterparty, or group of counterparties. Such risks are subject to at least an annual review. By far the largest credit risk to the Group is in relation to its reinsurance assets. Although the Group holds a significant proportion of its financial assets in securities, the risk of default on these is mitigated to the extent that any losses arising in respect of unit-linked funds backing the insurance and investment contracts the Group issues, would effectively be passed on to policyholders and investors through the unit-linked funds backing the insurance and investment contracts. The Group retains some residual risks on assets which support annuities, guaranteed investment bonds and shareholder's equity. These risks are monitored: a key aspect of this is the Group's current policy of investing new monies only in high-quality bonds of supra-national corporations and in government-backed debt. The Group has never purchased assets rated below AA by Standard and Poors. The Group's objective is to earn competitive relative returns by investing in a diversified portfolio of securities. Watch lists are maintained for exposures requiring additional review and all credit exposures are reviewed monthly. The Group's exposure to credit risk in relation to its debt securities and cash balances is summarised below: Cash Credit rating-debt securities balances Total AAA AA A Unrated As at 31 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 December 2008 Debt securities, deposits and cash balances with credit institutions Linked 40,507 137 - - 45,046 85,690 Non-linked 44,937 15,385 3,520 - 147,335 211,177 Government or pseudo Government deposits Linked 72,999 - - - - 72,999 Non-linked 101,619 - - - - 101,619 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total debt, deposits and cash balances 260,062 15,522 3,520 - 192,381 471,485 ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== Cash Credit rating-debt securities balances Total AAA AA A Unrated As at 31 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 £000 December 2007 Debt securities, deposits and cash balances with credit institutions Linked 3,098 647 86 - 110,146 113,977 Non-linked 50,531 36,843 3,755 151 114,981 206,261 Government or pseudo Government deposits Linked 62,137 - - - - 62,137 Non-linked 89,904 - - - - 89,904 ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total debt, deposits and cash balances 205,670 37,490 3,841 151 225,127 472.279 ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== ========== Reinsurance credit risk Reinsurance is used to manage insurance risk. This does not however discharge the Group's liability as primary insurer. If a reinsurer fails to pay a claim for any reason, the Group remains liable for the payment to the policyholder. The creditworthiness of major reinsurers is considered on an annual basis by reviewing their financial strength. It should be noted that for historical reasons the Group has a significant exposure of £200.6m as at 31 December 2008 (31 December 2007: £236.9m) to Guardian, which does not have a published credit rating. Of this amount £182.5m (31 December 2007: £212.0m) is in respect of currently guaranteed benefits. The exposure which relates to reinsured insurance contract liabilities, and which relates to amounts deposited with Guardian in respect of investment contract liabilities, was mitigated during 2006 when Guardian granted to Countrywide Assured plc a floating charge over related investment assets, which ranks that company equally with Guardian policyholders. In addition the Group also has an exposure on a number of its risk premium reinsurance contracts, although in general the premiums payable under these contracts in any period will be higher than the claims payments received. For further information please contact Graham Kettleborough Chief Executive, Chesnara plc 01772 840001 07799 407519

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Chesnara (CSN)
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